If not 1MDB, anti-establishment urban voters will choose another issue to attack Najib, BN and Umno

 |Jan 11, 2017
Chandra Muzaffar's view that urban voters would flock back to BN and Umno once 1MDB was resolved is off the mark.
Chandra Muzaffar’s view that urban voters would flock back to BN and Umno once 1MDB was resolved is off the mark.

“Najib needs to restore trust deficit among urban voters, say political experts,” said Today Online, the full report which you can read below.

The report started by saying, “Malaysian Prime Minister Najib Razak is facing a huge trust deficit as a result of the 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) scandal especially among urban voters, and he will need to win them over to gain a good result for the next general election, say political experts.”

Chandra Muzaffar was quoted as saying, “The biggest challenge is to try and restore trust among the people especially in the urban areas as they have become more skeptical and critical of the government due to the (1MDB) issue.”

Anyway, you can read the rest of the report below but the impression being created is that:

1. The government is facing a trust deficit just because of the 1MDB issue.

2. If Prime Minister Najib Razak resolves the 1MDB issue then the urban voters, in particular the Chinese and Indians, are going to abandon DAP and Pakatan Harapan and are going to flock to Umno in great numbers giving Barisan Nasional 180 seats in Parliament against the backdrop of 80% of the popular votes.

3. The urban voters, in particular the Chinese and Indians, are not really opposed to Umno and Barisan Nasional but are just upset about 1MDB.

4. Before 1MDB became an issue in December 2014, the urban voters, in particular the Chinese and Indians, supported Umno and Barisan Nasional and gave them 180 seats in Parliament and 80% of the popular votes — for example in the 2008 and 2013 general elections.

Now look at the maps below and note which part of the UK was red and which part was blue.

UK voting pattern 2015.
UK voting pattern 2015.

Also note that Scotland was yellow.

The same thing as what was happening in Malaysia was also happening in the UK.

The working class voters vote one way while the rural voters vote another way.

The nationalists in Scotland have a third choice altogether, as do the Irish.

This divide has existed for 400 years since the 1600s when Ireland, Scotland and England were divided by religion that eventually saw King Charles I literally lose his head.

The question now is will Scotland leave the UK and declare independence?

That, of course, is always a possibility in light of Brexit.

Anyway, the point is: there is no 1MDB in the UK but the voting pattern there was almost like in Malaysia.

In Malaysia, too, the voters vote red in the urban areas and blue in the rural areas.

This has been going on for a long time before the 1MDB issue exploded in 2014.

In 2008 and 2013 there was not yet any 1MDB issue and still the pattern was red in the urban areas and blue in the rural areas.

So, if these ‘political experts’ feel that 1MDB was a cure-all elixir and once Najib resolves 1MDB (or resigns as prime minister) then DAP and Pakatan Harapan are as good as dead because the urban voters, in particular the Chinese and Indians, are going to flock to Umno and Barisan Nasional, then these so-called ‘political experts’ need to spend few more years in school.

Back in 2008 they also thought that if Abdullah Ahmad Badawi resigns then the voters would flock back to Umno and Barisan Nasional.

That did not prove correct.

Now they say if Najib resigns then the voters would flock back to Umno and Barisan Nasional.

That is also not going to prove correct.

 

UK voting pattern 2005 2010.
UK voting pattern 2005 2010.

How many times do we need to repeat that 1MDB is not the issue?

They needed an issue to use against Najib so they chose 1MDB as that issue.

If 1MDB did not exist they would have chosen another issue instead.

They would have fabricated an issue to use against Najib and if they did not have 1MDB it would have been something else.

This is so fundamental that it is mind-boggling that even someone with supposedly superior brains like Dr Chandra cannot see that.

There was no 1MDB in the 2008 and 2013 general elections.

So why did the urban voters, in particular the Chinese and Indians, not vote Umno and Barisan Nasional?

Are you saying if 1MDB did not exist and if Najib was not the prime minister then DAP would have closed down years ago back in the 1970s and Pakatan Harapan (or Barisan Alternatif and Pakatan Rakyat before that) would never have existed?

These ‘experts’ had better accept the fact that the urban population is anti-establishment and has been for a long time since the days of our grandfather.

Furthermore, race and religion (followed by money) are the key factors that decide how people vote.

In times of plenty the urban population votes government and during hard times they vote opposition.

Hence all the voters want is dedak, as Mahathir Mohamad is so fond of saying, especially the Chinese voters.

To the Chinese it is all about money, even when they bury their parents.

Why is it the Chinese voted government in 1999 while the Malays voted ABM (Anything But Mahathir)?

Simple! The Chinese were more concerned about the economy and they were quite happy with what the government was doing.

We conducted a poll back in 1999 and what we found out was very surprising.

These are some examples of the questions and the answers that the Chinese and urban population gave.

1. Is there freedom in Malaysia? No!

2. Is Mahathir a dictator? Yes!

3. Is the ISA a draconian law? Yes!

4. Is there rampant corruption in Malaysia? Yes!

5. Does Malaysia still need the ISA to ensure there are no race riots or religious extremism? Yes!

6. Is the government managing the economy well? Yes!

7. Do we need a strong opposition? Yes!

8. Do you think the opposition should take over? No!

9. Do you support PAS? No!

10. Do you support Barisan Alternatif? Yes!

 

No matter how hard Barisan Nasional tried to restore the so-called trust deficit and convince people that 1MDB was not a scandal, the urban votes would remain anti-establisment because it is fashionable and trendy.
No matter how hard Barisan Nasional tried to restore the so-called trust deficit and convince people that 1MDB was not a scandal, the urban votes would remain anti-establisment because it is fashionable and trendy.

There were actually about 40 questions but from the answers you can see that the Malaysian voter does not really know what he or she wants.

For example, they say they oppose RUU355 because they do not wish to see a dual-legal system emerge in Malaysia.

The fact that Malaysia has had a dual-legal system for hundreds of years since long before Malaysia was born seems to be news to these people.

To them RUU355 is about amputations and beheadings and they just refuse to find out what it is really about.

The urban voters, in particular the Chinese and Indians, have made up their minds they are going to vote ABU (Anything But Umno).

This means anything at all associated with Umno, Barisan Nasional included but not restricted to just Barisan Nasional — such as Najib, 1MDB, GST, BR1M.

It does not matter whether it is good or bad.

As long as it comes from the Umno-government, they will reject it.

Najib was quite correct last month when he said the next general election is going to be a Umno-Malay-led coalition versus a DAP-Chinese-led coalition.

That is the bottom line to this whole thing.

1MDB, GST, BR1M, investments from China, or whatever, are merely excuses to use to justify their opposition to and unite the people against Najib.

If you think that if 1MDB, GST, BR1M, investments from China, etc., did not exist then Umno and Barisan Nasional are going to garner 80% of the votes and win 180 seats in Parliament then you should stop thinking. – Malaysia Today

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Raja Petra Kamarudin or RPK, cousin to the Selangor Sultan, is one of Malaysia's earliest online 'citizen journalists'. He started his website in 1995 before the internet 'explosion' triggered by the Reformasi movement in September 1998. Malaysia Today was launched as a blog in August 2004 and is one of the few pioneer blogs still active and posting articles on a daily basis 24-7. RPK, 66 years old, has been writing since 1990.