Five reasons less Malays will be in yellow shirts in streets of Kuala Lumpur on Saturday Nov 19, 2016 for Bersih 5.0 rally.
PAS staying far, far away
PAS people don’t even want to be in the same room with DAP as evidenced by their no-show at the recent Pakatan Harapan conclave.
It was the Parti Islam cadres who previously formed the backbone of Bersih 1.0 and Bersih 2.0.
When PAS is missing in action, what happens is something like Bersih 4.0 – a conspicuously Chinese-dominated affair.
Church playing too prominent a role
The Muslim grassroots had shied away from Bersih 4.0 but they will avoid Bersih 5.0 like a plague now that they’ve seen the close involvement of the church in the upcoming Yellow Shirt rally.
While the Muslim NGOs have not openly spoken out against Bersih 5.0, neither have they voiced any tacit support for the Nov 19 event.
With the exception of a small group aligned to Amanah, the rest are not mobilising.
Amanah lacks bean counters
Amanah has not transcended being a mosquito party.
The splinter outfit’s weak networking was demonstrated by its inability to draw the ceramah crowd after breaking away from the mothership.
Unlike PAS’s legendary army of foot soldiers, Amanah comprises too many chiefs and too few worker ants.
The upshot is Amanah has precious little manpower to contribute to the Bersih field.
Pribumi failed to take off
Mahathir Mohamad is a larger than life persona and his shadow looms long over the new party in which he has appointed himself the chairman.
Nonetheless the ex-premier commands few followers nowadays.
This fact can be ascertained from the line-up of his party exco which is strikingly bereft of any political heavyweights.
Moreover, few people bothered to attend the Pribumi nationwide roadshow.
Pribumi president Muhyiddin Yassin has even less of a loyal following compared to his party chair.
Although Mahathir has been willing to be the mascot personally for Bersih 5.0, nonetheless he cannot produce party members to swell the protest turnout.
Over-reliance on the multiracial PKR
If Bersih 5.0 is going to depend on PKR to do the heavy lifting, then the rally is in trouble.
Doubtless PKR has some Malay (and pretty boy) faces such as Latheefa Koya and Rafizi Ramli but the party can in no way make up the Malay numbers to balance or eclipse the DAP’s organisational efforts among the Chinese.
PKR is rather better known for its media savvy than its ground game.
This reality is reflected in its direct-voting party election (i.e. where every member is eligible to cast a ballot).
Azmin Ai won his deputy presidency by securing a total of only 20,000-plus votes despite PKR claiming to have more than 500,000 members.
What the party election exposed is how PKR made big membership claims that were not matched by their actual body count.
Conclusion: Bersih 5.0 is DAP in yellow. Tomorrow will be yet another Chinese shindig … Read More.