A major crisis is about to erupt in Pakatan Harapan.
This major crisis is regarding who is going to become the prime minister (PM) in the event Pakatan Harapan marches into Putrajaya.
By convention, the party with the most number of seats in parliament gets to decide who becomes PM.
In this case that would be DAP, who have confidently forecasted it was going to win more than 40 parliament seats as opposed to PKR’s less than 30 and less than ten each for Pribumi and Amanah – to give them a total of about 85 seats.
In fact, if DAP can get 90% or more of the Chinese votes, which it believes it can, then its parliament seats could go as high as 50-55.
But that would mean almost every Chinese voter in Malaysia would have to vote for DAP.
If DAP can keep the hate-Umno, hate-Islam, hate-Malay and hate-Najib campaign on full throttle this may yet happen.
Wan Azizah, PM-designate
Currently, DAP has the most number of seats in parliament while Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail is the opposition leader in Parliament.
This is not by chance.
Wan Azizah is the opposition leader in Parliament because DAP wants her or allows her to be the opposition leader – even though her party has less seats than DAP.
It is the convention that the opposition leader in Parliament was the PM-in-waiting, even in the UK.
The message here is simple.
If Pakatan Harapan forms the next government, Wan Azizah is going to become PM.
The other message is DAP will decide who becomes the PM.
Some say we should not read too much into this.
They argue that the reason DAP ‘appointed’ Wan Azizah as the opposition leader is because the opposition leader must be Malay-Muslim and DAP does not have a suitable candidate.
That is not true. In 2004, DAP won 12 seats against only seven for PAS and merely one for PKR.
So Lim Kit Siang became the opposition leader (because DAP had left Barisan Alternatif and was no longer a member of the opposition coalition).
In 2008, PKR won 31 seats against DAP’s 28 and PAS’s 23 and Wan Azizah took over as the opposition leader.
In 2013, DAP took back the majority when it won 38 seats but it allowed PKR to retain the post of opposition leader.
The message here was PKR’s candidate is the PM-in-waiting.
At the back of Kit Siang’s mind, the PKR leader is going to be the PM even if DAP wins the most number of seats.
If Anwar Ibrahim is not available then Wan Azizah would take over.
That was the same thing that happened in Selangor.
DAP wanted Anwar to become the Selangor menteri besar (MB) and since Anwar could not, DAP nominated Wan Azizah instead (but the sultan rejected her).
Mahathir Mohamad, who is acting as if he is the opposition leader, wants to decide who is going to become PM.
That was why he announced in the UK that Muhyiddin Yassin was going to be the PM if Pakatan Harapan wins the general election (but did a U-turn when he realised he had blundered).
He then said it was too early to decide because he knew whoever becomes the PM is not for him to decide but will be decided by DAP.
Politics is a game of numbers and DAP has the numbers.
The PM is going to be whoever the party with the most number of seats says it was going to be.
DAP wants a weak Malay PM
At the moment the person who Kit Siang – whose party has the numbers — has in mind as Malaysia’s PM if Pakatan Harapan wins the next general election (GE14) is Wan Azizah.
With only one seat, Mahathir has no power to decide who is going to be the PM (unless his Pribumi can win more than 50 seats in GE14 and become the party with the most number of seats).
Wan Azizah is a weak candidate and many say she was not suitable as the PM.
She cannot even hold a press conference without someone holding her hand.
But that is just it.
Kit Siang wants a weak candidate.
If the candidate is strong then DAP will not be able to control him or her.
So, if DAP can win 40-45 seats or more, and PKR around 20-25 seats – against less than 10 seats each for Amanah and Pribumi – DAP will decide who becomes PM.
In 1965, when Singapore separated from Malaysia, Malaysians and Singaporeans were asked to choose whether they wish to be Malaysian citizens or Singaporean citizens.
Kit Siang, who had migrated to Singapore in 1960, chose Singaporean citizenship.
In 1966, Lee Kuan Yew sent Kit Siang back to Malaysia to manage DAP, a party that was set up just two months after Singapore separated from Malaysia.
Wan Azizah was born in Singapore and also moved to Malaysia with her father.
So the Singaporean connection between Kit Siang and Wan Azizah is very strong and it suits Kit Siang’s plan to have her as PM with him as her deputy prime minister (DPM) and finance minister.
What a coup it would be if both the PM and DPM of Malaysia are ‘Singaporeans’.
Mahathir needs more seats to appoint son as PM
While Mahathir wants Kit Siang to back Mukhriz as PM – who is not yet even a MP – the reality is with only one seat Mahathir was in no position to dictate anything.
Pribumi must first win the second-largest number of seats in Parliament.
If PKR can win 25-30 seats this would mean Pribumi has to aim for at least 30-35 seats.
However, Pribumi will be hard-pressed to win even five seats in GE14.
The question would be can Mukhriz himself win a seat unless Pribumi moves him to a safe seat where the partty can depend on DAP’s Chinese supporters for votes?
If you compare Selangor MB Azmin Ali to Wan Azizah, he is by far a stronger candidate.
But then if DAP backs Azmin for PM this will make him even stronger and this will allow him to kill off Wan Azizah.
DAP, however, does not trust Azmin.
Azmin is still playing footsie with PAS and is Mahathir’s proxy in PKR.
So Azmin has shown he can play all sides at the same time.
Azmin would sell out DAP if it suits his personal agenda to work with other parties, Umno and PAS included, two parties that DAP hates to the core.
So, DAP will decide who will be the PM.
It has already decided it is Wan Azizah by allowing her to continue as the opposition leader.
In other words, in case many may not have noticed, DAP is saying that Wan Azizah was the PM-in-waiting and it was DAP and no one else that can decide that.
If you say Wan Azizah is lembap then Mukhriz is even more lembap.
Of course, if Pribumi ends up winning 35 seats in GE14 (with Mukhriz winning one of those seats) against PKR’s 30 and DAP’s 40, then Mahathir can demand that his son be made the PM.
Until that happens Mahathir has to act like a follower and not the leader.
With the current only one seat that Pribumi has they are in no position to make demands.
In the first place Pribumi’s 10,000 members is far short of Umno’s 3.5 million.
That in itself shows that Mahathir and his Pribumi do not have support.
To DAP this issue is very simple.
If DAP backs Wan Azizah, Azmin is dead.
If DAP backs Azmin, Wan Azizah is dead.
So DAP also gets to decide PKR’s future as well.
DAP’s future lies in PKR’s future.
So, for the sake of DAP’s survival, it has to determine who was in charge of PKR.
With Wan Azizah in charge, it gets Anwar on its side.
With Azmin in charge, Mahathir will call the shots.
Anwar is in jail and is no threat.
Mahathir is desperate and is in a hurry so he is going to be very greedy.
It does not take a genius to figure out that DAP was safer with Wan Azizah than with Azmin.
With PKR having the second-largest number of seats and Pribumi struggling to merely stay alive, DAP needs not “layan” Mahathir or Pribumi too much.
In the meantime, however, DAP needs to “layan” Mahathir and Pribumi in the extremely slim chance that they can take away support from Umno.
It is better DAP keeps its friends close and its enemies even closer. – Malaysia Today